Bibliografía

Referencias bibliográficas consolidadas para QRA industrial — estándares, modelos de consecuencias, dispersión, teoría de incendios y explosiones, efecto dominó, vulnerabilidad y marco matemático

Esta página consolida todas las referencias bibliográficas citadas a lo largo de la documentación de TekRisk PRO: estándares regulatorios, libros de texto de QRA, modelos de consecuencias y dispersión, teoría de incendios y explosiones, probits de efecto dominó, modelos de vulnerabilidad y el marco matemático que sustenta la metodología.

1. Estándares y Marcos de QRA

#	Referencia
1	CCPS (2000). Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis, 2da Ed. AIChE, Nueva York.
2	TNO (2005). Methods for the Calculation of Physical Effects (Yellow Book, CPR 14E), 3ra Ed. Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, Países Bajos.
3	TNO (2005). Methods for the Determination of Possible Damage (Green Book, CPR 16E), 3ra Ed. Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, Países Bajos.
4	TNO (1999). Guidelines for Quantitative Risk Assessment (Purple Book, CPR 18E). Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, Países Bajos.
5	UK HSE (2001). Reducing Risks, Protecting People (R2P2). Health and Safety Executive, Londres.
6	RIVM / IPO (2009). Reference Manual Bevi Risk Assessments, Versión 3.2. Bilthoven, Países Bajos.
7	HKSAR (1994). Risk Guidelines for New Territories East Landfill. Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.
8	HIPAP No. 4 (1994). Risk Criteria for Land Use Safety Planning. NSW Department of Planning, Australia.
9	ASEA (2016). Lineamientos para la Elaboración del Análisis de Riesgo. Agencia de Seguridad, Energía y Ambiente, México.
10	EPA. Risk Management Program Guidance. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

2. Libros de Texto de QRA y Seguridad de Procesos

#	Referencia
11	Lees, F.P. (2012). Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 4ta Ed. Butterworth-Heinemann / Elsevier, Amsterdam.
12	Crowl, D.A. & Louvar, J.F. (2011). Chemical Process Safety: Fundamentals with Applications, 3ra Ed. Prentice Hall.
13	Casal, J. (2008). Evaluation of the Effects and Consequences of Major Accidents in Industrial Plants. Elsevier.
14	Kakosimos, K.E. Safety in Chemical Engineering — Complex Hazardous Activities: Preventing and Managing Industrial Disasters. Papasotiriou Publications.
15	Yaws, C.L. (1999). Chemical Properties Handbook. McGraw-Hill, Nueva York.

3. Dispersión Atmosférica

#	Referencia
16	Ermak, D.L. (1990). User's Manual for SLAB: An Atmospheric Dispersion Model for Denser-Than-Air Releases. UCRL-MA-105607, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA.
17	Pasquill, F. (1961). The estimation of the dispersion of windborne material. Meteorological Magazine, 90, 33–49.
18	Monin, A.S. & Obukhov, A.M. (1954). Basic laws of turbulent mixing in the ground layer of the atmosphere. Tr. Geofiz. Inst. AN SSSR, 151, 163–187.
19	Briggs, G.A. (1984). Plume Rise and Buoyancy Effects. En: Atmospheric Science and Power Production. DOE/TIC-27601.
20	van Ulden, A.P. (1974). On the spreading of a heavy gas released near the ground. Proc. Loss Prevention and Safety Promotion, Vol. 1, 221–226.

4. Modelos de Incendio

#	Referencia
21	Thomas, P.H. (1963). The size of flames from natural fires. 9th International Symposium on Combustion, pp. 844–859.
22	Pritchard, M.J. & Binding, T.M. (1992). FIRE2: A new approach for predicting thermal hazards from hydrocarbon pool fires. IChemE Symposium Series No. 130.
23	Mudan, K.S. & Croce, P.A. (1995). Fire hazard calculations for large open hydrocarbon fires. SFPE Handbook of Fire Protection Engineering. SFPE/NFPA.
24	Chamberlain, G.A. (1987). Developments in design methods for predicting thermal radiation from flares. Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 65, pp. 299–309.

5. Modelos de Explosión y Sobrepresión

#	Referencia
25	Brasie, W.C. & Simpson, D.W. (1968). Guidelines for Estimating Damage from Chemical Explosions. 63rd National Meeting, AIChE.
26	Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pettitt, G.N. (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Methodology for Gaseous Blast Waves. IChemE Symposium Series No. 110.
27	Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pape, R.P. (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Tool (RISKAT). Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 67.

6. Efecto Dominó

#	Referencia
28	Cozzani, V., Gubinelli, G., Antonioni, G., Spadoni, G. & Zanelli, S. (2006). The assessment of risk caused by domino effect in quantitative area risk analysis. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 127, pp. 14–30.
29	Cozzani, V. et al. (2006). Escalation thresholds in the assessment of domino accidental events. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 129(1-3), pp. 1–21.
30	Mingguang, Z. et al. Probit functions for domino effect. Correlaciones de efecto dominó alternativas.

7. Modelos de Vulnerabilidad y Probit

#	Referencia
31	Eisenberg, N.A., Lynch, C.J. & Breeding, R.J. (1975). Vulnerability Model. CG-D-136-75. United States Coast Guard, Washington. — Ecuaciones probit originales para letalidad térmica y por sobrepresión.
32	CCPS (2000). Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis, 2da Ed. AIChE, Nueva York. — Funciones probit compiladas: fatalidad térmica $Pr = -14.9 + 2.56\ln(D/10{,}000)$ (p. 269, Eisenberg), letalidad por sobrepresión $Pr = -77.1 + 6.91\ln(P_{Pa})$ (p. 275, Eisenberg), daño estructural $Pr = -23.8 + 2.92\ln(P_{Pa})$ (p. 275), rotura de tímpano $Pr = -12.6 + 1.525\ln(P_{Pa})$ , anillos de fatalidades (p. 273).
33	Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pape, R.P. (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Tool (RISKAT). Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 67. — Probit de letalidad por sobrepresión (método por defecto): $Pr = 1.47 + 1.35\ln(P_{psi})$ , derivado de análisis retrospectivo de accidentes.
34	Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pettitt, G.N. (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Methodology for Gaseous Blast Waves. IChemE Symposium Series No. 110. — Metodología probit para ondas de explosión gaseosa, aplicada en el modelado de consecuencias por sobrepresión.

8. Reportes Técnicos y Referencias Atmosféricas

#	Referencia
35	JRC — Joint Research Centre. Major Accident Hazards Bureau Technical Report.
36	U.S. EPA / NOAA (2013). ALOHA Technical Documentation.
37	ICAO (1976). International Standard Atmosphere (ISA). ICAO Doc 7488/2.

9. Marco Matemático

#	Referencia
38	Arfken, G. (1981). Métodos matemáticos para físicos. Editorial Diana.
39	Arnold, V.I. (1985). Ordinary Differential Equations. The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, y Londres.
40	Farlow, S.J. (1993). Partial Differential Equations for Scientists and Engineers. Dover Publications, Inc., Nueva York.
41	Dafermos, C.M. & Pokorný, M. (eds.) (2008). Handbook of Differential Equations: Ordinary Differential Equations. Elsevier North Holland, Amsterdam, Londres.
42	Hogben, L. (ed.) (2007). Handbook of Linear Algebra. Discrete Mathematics and its Applications. Series Editor Kenneth H. Rosen. Chapman & Hall / CRC.
43	Jordan, D.W. & Smith, P. (1994). Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equations, 2da Ed. Oxford Applied Mathematics and Computing Science Series. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
44	Gil, A., Segura, J. & Temme, N.M. Numerical Methods for Special Functions. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia.
45	Stoll, R.R. (1963). Set Theory and Logic. Dover Publications Inc., Nueva York.
46	Suppes, P. (1960). Axiomatic Set Theory. D. Van Nostrand Company Inc.

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