Bibliography

Consolidated bibliographic references for industrial QRA — standards, consequence models, dispersion, fire and explosion theory, domino effect, vulnerability, and mathematical framework

This page consolidates every bibliographic reference cited across the TekRisk PRO documentation: regulatory standards, QRA textbooks, consequence and dispersion models, fire and explosion theory, domino-effect probits, vulnerability models, and the mathematical framework underpinning the methodology.


1. Standards and QRA Frameworks

#Reference
1CCPS (2000). Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis, 2nd Ed. AIChE, New York.
2TNO (2005). Methods for the Calculation of Physical Effects (Yellow Book, CPR 14E), 3rd Ed. Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, The Netherlands.
3TNO (2005). Methods for the Determination of Possible Damage (Green Book, CPR 16E), 3rd Ed. Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, The Netherlands.
4TNO (1999). Guidelines for Quantitative Risk Assessment (Purple Book, CPR 18E). Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, The Netherlands.
5UK HSE (2001). Reducing Risks, Protecting People (R2P2). Health and Safety Executive, London.
6RIVM / IPO (2009). Reference Manual Bevi Risk Assessments, Version 3.2. Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
7HKSAR (1994). Risk Guidelines for New Territories East Landfill. Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.
8HIPAP No. 4 (1994). Risk Criteria for Land Use Safety Planning. NSW Department of Planning, Australia.
9ASEA (2016). Lineamientos para la Elaboración del Análisis de Riesgo. Agencia de Seguridad, Energía y Ambiente, México.
10EPA. Risk Management Program Guidance. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

2. QRA and Process Safety Textbooks

#Reference
11Lees, F.P. (2012). Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 4th Ed. Butterworth-Heinemann / Elsevier, Amsterdam.
12Crowl, D.A. & Louvar, J.F. (2011). Chemical Process Safety: Fundamentals with Applications, 3rd Ed. Prentice Hall.
13Casal, J. (2008). Evaluation of the Effects and Consequences of Major Accidents in Industrial Plants. Elsevier.
14Kakosimos, K.E. Safety in Chemical Engineering — Complex Hazardous Activities: Preventing and Managing Industrial Disasters. Papasotiriou Publications.
15Yaws, C.L. (1999). Chemical Properties Handbook. McGraw-Hill, New York.

3. Atmospheric Dispersion

#Reference
16Ermak, D.L. (1990). User's Manual for SLAB: An Atmospheric Dispersion Model for Denser-Than-Air Releases. UCRL-MA-105607, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA.
17Pasquill, F. (1961). The estimation of the dispersion of windborne material. Meteorological Magazine, 90, 33–49.
18Monin, A.S. & Obukhov, A.M. (1954). Basic laws of turbulent mixing in the ground layer of the atmosphere. Tr. Geofiz. Inst. AN SSSR, 151, 163–187.
19Briggs, G.A. (1984). Plume Rise and Buoyancy Effects. In: Atmospheric Science and Power Production. DOE/TIC-27601.
20van Ulden, A.P. (1974). On the spreading of a heavy gas released near the ground. Proc. Loss Prevention and Safety Promotion, Vol. 1, 221–226.

4. Fire Models

#Reference
21Thomas, P.H. (1963). The size of flames from natural fires. 9th International Symposium on Combustion, pp. 844–859.
22Pritchard, M.J. & Binding, T.M. (1992). FIRE2: A new approach for predicting thermal hazards from hydrocarbon pool fires. IChemE Symposium Series No. 130.
23Mudan, K.S. & Croce, P.A. (1995). Fire hazard calculations for large open hydrocarbon fires. SFPE Handbook of Fire Protection Engineering. SFPE/NFPA.
24Chamberlain, G.A. (1987). Developments in design methods for predicting thermal radiation from flares. Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 65, pp. 299–309.

5. Explosion and Overpressure Models

#Reference
25Brasie, W.C. & Simpson, D.W. (1968). Guidelines for Estimating Damage from Chemical Explosions. 63rd National Meeting, AIChE.
26Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pettitt, G.N. (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Methodology for Gaseous Blast Waves. IChemE Symposium Series No. 110.
27Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pape, R.P. (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Tool (RISKAT). Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 67.

6. Domino Effect

#Reference
28Cozzani, V., Gubinelli, G., Antonioni, G., Spadoni, G. & Zanelli, S. (2006). The assessment of risk caused by domino effect in quantitative area risk analysis. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 127, pp. 14–30.
29Cozzani, V. et al. (2006). Escalation thresholds in the assessment of domino accidental events. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 129(1-3), pp. 1–21.
30Mingguang, Z. et al. Probit functions for domino effect. Alternative domino-effect correlations.

7. Vulnerability and Probit Models

#Reference
31Eisenberg, N.A., Lynch, C.J. & Breeding, R.J. (1975). Vulnerability Model. CG-D-136-75. United States Coast Guard, Washington. — Original probit equations for thermal and overpressure lethality.
32CCPS (2000). Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis, 2nd Ed. AIChE, New York. — Compiled probit functions: thermal fatality Pr=14.9+2.56ln(D/10,000)Pr = -14.9 + 2.56\ln(D/10{,}000) (p. 269, Eisenberg), overpressure lethality Pr=77.1+6.91ln(PPa)Pr = -77.1 + 6.91\ln(P_{Pa}) (p. 275, Eisenberg), structural damage Pr=23.8+2.92ln(PPa)Pr = -23.8 + 2.92\ln(P_{Pa}) (p. 275), eardrum rupture Pr=12.6+1.525ln(PPa)Pr = -12.6 + 1.525\ln(P_{Pa}), fatality rings (p. 273).
33Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pape, R.P. (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Tool (RISKAT). Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 67. — Default overpressure lethality probit: Pr=1.47+1.35ln(Ppsi)Pr = 1.47 + 1.35\ln(P_{psi}), derived from retrospective accident analysis.
34Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pettitt, G.N. (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Methodology for Gaseous Blast Waves. IChemE Symposium Series No. 110. — Probit methodology for gaseous blast waves, applied in overpressure consequence modelling.

8. Technical Reports and Atmospheric References

#Reference
35JRC — Joint Research Centre. Major Accident Hazards Bureau Technical Report.
36U.S. EPA / NOAA (2013). ALOHA Technical Documentation.
37ICAO (1976). International Standard Atmosphere (ISA). ICAO Doc 7488/2.

9. Mathematical Framework

#Reference
38Arfken, G. (1981). Mathematical Methods for Physicists. Editorial Diana.
39Arnold, V.I. (1985). Ordinary Differential Equations. The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, and London.
40Farlow, S.J. (1993). Partial Differential Equations for Scientists and Engineers. Dover Publications, Inc., New York.
41Dafermos, C.M. & Pokorný, M. (eds.) (2008). Handbook of Differential Equations: Ordinary Differential Equations. Elsevier North Holland, Amsterdam, London.
42Hogben, L. (ed.) (2007). Handbook of Linear Algebra. Discrete Mathematics and its Applications. Series Editor Kenneth H. Rosen. Chapman & Hall / CRC.
43Jordan, D.W. & Smith, P. (1994). Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equations, 2nd Ed. Oxford Applied Mathematics and Computing Science Series. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
44Gil, A., Segura, J. & Temme, N.M. Numerical Methods for Special Functions. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia.
45Stoll, R.R. (1963). Set Theory and Logic. Dover Publications Inc., New York.
46Suppes, P. (1960). Axiomatic Set Theory. D. Van Nostrand Company Inc.

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